{"id":30448,"date":"2023-03-08T02:50:00","date_gmt":"2023-03-08T02:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/eodishasamachar.com\/en\/2023\/03\/08\/growth-in-asia-will-lose-pace-in-2023-only-to-pick-up-next-year\/"},"modified":"2023-03-08T02:50:00","modified_gmt":"2023-03-08T02:50:00","slug":"growth-in-asia-will-lose-pace-in-2023-only-to-pick-up-next-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/eodishasamachar.com\/en\/2023\/03\/08\/growth-in-asia-will-lose-pace-in-2023-only-to-pick-up-next-year\/","title":{"rendered":"Growth in Asia will lose pace in 2023, only to pick up next year"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div lang=\"en\">\n<p>        HONG KONG SAR &#8211;<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.media-outreach.com\" rel=\"sponsored\">Media OutReach<\/a> &#8211; 8 March 2023 &#8211;<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/atradius.com.hk\/en\/\" rel=\"sponsored\">Atradius<\/a>, a global trade insurance leader, has today released its<br \/>\n<b>2023 Regional Economic Outlook<\/b> report,<br \/>\n<b>setting out growth forecasts for key economies in Asia<\/b>, including the outlook for a newly reopened China,<br \/>\n<b>and offering a long-term view on the risks of geo-economic fragmentation<\/b> resulting from ongoing supply chain reconfigurations and geopolitical tensions.<\/p>\n<p>Please find below the key takeaways from<br \/>\n<b>Bert Burger, Principal Economist, Atradius, <\/b>and the full report is available for download<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/atradius.com.hk\/en\/publications\/economic-research-atradius-regional-economic-outlook-asia-march-2023.html?utm_source=MediaOutreach&amp;utm_medium=pr&amp;utm_campaign=er_2023_asia\" rel=\"sponsored\">here<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<p><u>Overall Asia macro-economic outlook:<br \/>\n  <br \/><\/u><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n    <b>Asian economies are on course for modest growth this year <\/b>as they try to shake off the negative effects of tighter financial conditions, inflation, a weak global economic environment and geopolitical tensions.\n    <\/li>\n<li>\n    <s\/><br \/>\n    Except for China and Thailand,<br \/>\n    <b>most economies in Asia will likely see lower real GDP growth this year than in 2022<\/b>. However, as the aforementioned headwinds weaken over the coming months and the impact of China&#8217;s reopening cascades through the region,<br \/>\n    <b>the recovery is expected to pick up momentum in 2024.<\/b><br \/>\n    <s\/>\n  <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\n<u>Major Asian economies&#8217; performance: a mixed bag<br \/>\n  <br \/><\/u><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n    <b>For China<\/b>, weak export demand from developed economies and a struggling real estate sector will counterbalance the benefits of reopening and supportive fiscal and monetary policies<b> \u2014 capping growth at no higher than 4.5% this year <\/b>compared to 3% in 2022<b>. <\/b>Over the long run, structural issues such as an<b> ageing population, low productivity growth, human capital mismatch, supply chain shifts and geopolitical rivalry may limit China&#8217;s growth<\/b>,<br \/>\n    <b>risking a middle-income trap<\/b>.\n    <\/li>\n<li>\n    <b>India is set to be the fastest-growing economy in Asia this year and next, expanding at<\/b><br \/>\n    <b>4.8% and 6.8%, respectively<\/b>. The country&#8217;s relatively strong performance is underpinned by a less severe surge in inflation, a<br \/>\n    <b>strong domestic economy <\/b>that is offsetting decline in external demand, and<br \/>\n    <b>improving overall business environment<\/b>, which is attracting international investments.\n  <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>\n    <b>In<\/b><br \/>\n    <b>Japan and South Korea \u2013 growth will be muted this year at 0.7% and 0.8%,<\/b><br \/>\n    <b>respectively<\/b> \u2013 as high inflation dents their recovery. High household debt in South Korea has kept a lid on consumer spending after recent rate hikes. Meanwhile, pent-up demand in Japan will partly compensate for inflation, supporting the recovery in domestic consumption to continue but at a slower rate than last year.\n  <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\n<u>ASEAN-5<sup><a href=\"#_ftn1\" rel=\"sponsored\"><u>[1]<\/u><\/a><\/sup> more resilient than ever:<br \/>\n  <br \/><\/u><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n    With their increasingly robust economies and financial systems, the five largest emerging markets in Southeast Asia known as<br \/>\n    <b>ASEAN-5 have remained resilient against recent external shocks<\/b>, making them more likely to benefit from the global supply chain diversification trend.\n  <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>\n    The<br \/>\n    <b>Philippines is poised to grow the fastest <\/b>at 4.1%, followed by Thailand (4%) and Vietnam (4%).<br \/>\n    <b>Thailand&#8217;s resurgence as a preferred holiday destination will boost tourism revenues and push growth to 4%<\/b> compared to 2.6% in 2022<b>. Indonesia will be a laggard, growing at 3.6% before seeing a surge in growth to 5.5% in 2024<\/b>, as private investments benefit from a new law.<br \/>\n    <b\/>\n  <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\n<u>Emerging risk of geo-economic fragmentation: <\/u><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n    While the diversification of supply chains, triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions between the US and China, has benefited countries like India, Vietnam, Malaysia and Thailand, a broadening of this trend may risk a<br \/>\n    <b>sharp geo-economic fragmentation of financial and trade flows.<br \/>\n      <\/b><\/li>\n<li>\n    Russia&#8217;s invasion of Ukraine and ensuing sanctions on the country have already led to increased uncertainty around future trade relations. The potential<br \/>\n    <b>consequences of a fragmentation scenario \u2013 reduced investments, jobs and growth<\/b><br \/>\n    <b>\u2013<\/b><br \/>\n    <b>are expected to result in large economic losses for Asia <\/b>due to its central role in global manufacturing.\n  <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n  <\/p>\n<hr align=\"left\"\/>\n<div>\n    <a href=\"#_ftnref1\" rel=\"sponsored\">[1]<\/a> ASEAN-5 consists of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam. Together with five other states, they form ASEAN or the Association of Southeast Asian Nations.<br \/>\n    \n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><b>Hashtag: <\/b>#economicoutlook #atradius #Asia #Asiaeconomy #economicgrowth #globaltrade<\/p>\n<p>\n            <em>The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.<\/em>\n        <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.media-outreach.com\/news\/hong-kong\/2023\/03\/08\/204717\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>HONG KONG SAR &#8211; Media OutReach &#8211; 8 March 2023 &#8211; Atradius, a global trade insurance leader, has today released its 2023 Regional Economic Outlook report, setting out growth forecasts for key economies in Asia, including the outlook for a newly reopened China, and offering a long-term view on the risks of geo-economic fragmentation resulting &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":30449,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[60],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/eodishasamachar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30448"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/eodishasamachar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/eodishasamachar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eodishasamachar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eodishasamachar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30448"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/eodishasamachar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30448\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eodishasamachar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30449"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/eodishasamachar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30448"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eodishasamachar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30448"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eodishasamachar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30448"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}